Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032037 0.037100 0.042712 0.049396 0.057144 0.065848 0.076373
2026-01-11 0.023955 0.030554 0.038608 0.049169 0.062673 0.079390 0.101700
2026-01-18 0.019477 0.026750 0.036303 0.049793 0.068396 0.093216 0.128972
2026-01-25 0.016677 0.024335 0.035020 0.051054 0.074586 0.107987 0.159243
2026-02-01 0.013858 0.021297 0.032226 0.049503 0.076251 0.116291 0.181170
2026-02-08 0.011991 0.019296 0.030534 0.049146 0.079368 0.126810 0.207526
2026-02-15 0.010480 0.017584 0.028977 0.048660 0.082039 0.136754 0.234081
2026-02-22 0.009486 0.016543 0.028307 0.049441 0.086755 0.150428 0.268475
2026-03-01 0.008478 0.015325 0.027153 0.049193 0.089588 0.161150 0.299045
2026-03-08 0.007461 0.013946 0.025529 0.047859 0.090247 0.168017 0.323403
2026-03-15 0.006587 0.012706 0.023988 0.046447 0.090517 0.174104 0.346947
2026-03-22 0.006109 0.012149 0.023627 0.047198 0.094957 0.188495 0.388453
2026-03-29 0.005601 0.011479 0.022992 0.047374 0.098370 0.201485 0.429324
2026-04-05 0.005139 0.010845 0.022350 0.047455 0.101610 0.214556 0.472275
2026-04-12 0.004787 0.010391 0.022014 0.048121 0.106149 0.230862 0.524460
2026-04-19 0.004522 0.010087 0.021950 0.049354 0.112057 0.250804 0.587509
2026-04-26 0.004058 0.009287 0.020727 0.047858 0.111662 0.256786 0.619218
2026-05-03 0.003735 0.008765 0.020049 0.047514 0.113855 0.268872 0.667059
2026-05-10 0.003437 0.008264 0.019358 0.047044 0.115679 0.280304 0.714867
2026-05-17 0.003249 0.008001 0.019187 0.047799 0.120563 0.299637 0.785233
2026-05-24 0.003017 0.007600 0.018641 0.047559 0.122931 0.313079 0.842260
2026-05-31 0.002746 0.007072 0.017725 0.046270 0.122450 0.319275 0.880901
2026-06-07 0.002498 0.006573 0.016823 0.044905 0.121595 0.324396 0.917349